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Wednesday, March 19th, 2008  |  20 Comments

Sorting Through The Madness

Can Mike Beasley defeat OJ Mayo in Round One? Plus other intriguing NCAA match-ups…

by Adam Fleischer

As I watched the unveiling of the brackets on Sunday night, I found myself having mixed emotions. From a selfish standpoint, I was upset to see some match-ups that threw a wrench in my plans having to do with riding certain teams for one, two, or more wins (i.e. Butler having to deal with Tennessee in the second round or USC and Kansas State facing off in the first round). On the other hand, the excitement that had been building inside me for the last couple weeks of the season and the conference tournaments reached an even higher plateau as I went through first round games and potential later round match-ups alike.

One thing that became immediately clear was that my pre-bracket-release picks for the mag in ish 117 wouldn’t be holding up. Even though I knew this would most likely happen, I got smacked in the face with it right away in the form of a potential second round bout between two of my Final Four teams—number one overall UNC and surprisingly low seeded (8) Indiana. And that’s only if Indiana can survive their first game against Arkansas, which I think they’ll be able to do.

Now that I’ve had a day or two to let things marinate, I still have no idea what the hell I’m looking at when I pick up the bracket. So many games have me wavering back and forth, unable and unwilling to pick a winner for any slew of reasons. I’m not getting too worked up about my inabilities to make picks, though, because I can only hope that it means we’re in store for some actual madness.

A few first round contests that caught my eye…

East:
Oklahoma vs. St. Joe’s: Despite being plagued by injuries during points in the season, most notably to beast of a freshman Blake Griffin, the Sooners were able to hang around in the Big 12 this year, often flying under the radar. In terms of St. Joe’s, I haven’t seen them play much, but the A-10 is a legit conference and they took it to Xavier, who I really like, just last week. I’m curious to see how the defensive minded, bang it out style that Oklahoma plays will match up against a good offensive team in St. Joe’s.

Butler vs. South Alabama: Butler was ranked in the top 25 for much of the year, including closing the season at number 10 in the coaches poll, but only managed to pull a 7 seed in the tourney. They drew Sun Belt Conference champs South Alabama, who were blessed with an at-large bid when they couldn’t wrap up their conference tournament. The Bulldogs return a number of contributors from last year’s team that earned a trip to the Sweet 16, but they rely heavily on the three, something that could hurt if its not dropping this weekend. On the other hand, if it is, they could really shake things up.

South:
Pitt vs. Oral Roberts: Watching a healthy Pitt tear through the Big East Tournament left many observers, myself included, pretty high on what the Panthers can do. All the experts seem to be picking them to make it to the Sweet 16, many expect them to beat Memphis, and some even see them advancing to San Antonio. While I doubt they’ll stumble against Oral Roberts, I wouldn’t mind seeing Bob Knight, who, although arguably senile, is wildly entertaining as an analyst, have to make some new picks.

Midwest:
Clemson vs. Villanova: 5-12 match-ups are often quickly looked to as sexy upset picks. This year should be no different, as there’s a strong group of five seeds that must take on possible spoilers with the group of 12s. One such game comes in the first round here, pitting ACC tournament runner up Clemson against Villanova, and this is probably my favorite of all the 5-12 games. Nova did pretty well in a deep Big East this year, led by Scottie Reynolds, who is a damn good player and can be very dangerous if he gets hot. Clemson is very good at what they do, too, though. They have a deep and balanced team and play tenacious D for forty minutes, often times pressing opponents. The Tigers seem more built for the tournament, but it should be a fun one to watch.

USC vs. Kansas State: I feel like both of these teams have the potential to make it to the Final Four, but they could also get knocked out in the first round. K-State has Michael Beasley, and I think we can agree that he’s really good. I’d love to see them jump on his back and get a few wins, because the more we get to watch of him, the luckier we are. USC presents a real challenge, though. They were conditioned all year in the Pac-10 and have Taj Gibson as a nice compliment to OJ Mayo. Whoever comes out on top has the chance to give Wisconsin a run for their money in the second round.

West:
UConn vs. San Diego: If you read some of my reflections on the season as it progressed, you would have come to realize that I’m a big fan of this year’s UConn team. It’s hard for me to overlook the way that they finished the season; they’ve lost two out of three and couldn’t take care of business in the first round of the Big East Tournament. While I am still pulling for them and expect a couple wins, the Huskies are lined up to take on UCLA if they handle opening weekend business. I’m thinking there’s a good chance that no one is going to be able to what UConn would then be faced with attempting: sending the Bruins home with an L.

That’s an unintentionally nice segue into my revamped Final Four picks (still subject to change): UCLA (in my head I don’t see them losing), Tennessee, Georgetown, and Memphis (can’t turn my back on them now).

Bring on Thursday. I’m ready.

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20 Responses to “Sorting Through The Madness”

Mar.19 at 11:56 am

H to the izzo says:
K-State had better beat USC..

Mar.19 at 12:04 pm

TADOne says:
I made that pick too, izzo. Great column, Adam.

Mar.19 at 12:11 pm

TADOne says:
I also like Gonzaga vs. Davidson and Drake vs. Western Kentucky.

Mar.19 at 12:15 pm

lockedc says:
watch out for clemson!!!!!!!!!

Mar.19 at 12:17 pm

lockedc says:
they start hitting FT´s

Mar.19 at 12:18 pm

H to the izzo says:
That Saint Joes match up had me undecided for a while also,I think what I picked may have been wrong also but I’m not changing.And TAD I went with Davidson

Mar.19 at 12:49 pm

DirtyC says:
these are gunna be some good games

Mar.19 at 12:59 pm

TADOne says:
I went with the Zags, but I was wavering on that. Oh well.

Mar.19 at 1:04 pm

H to the izzo says:
TAD:I based my decision solely on the back of Stephen Curry.

Mar.19 at 1:09 pm

TADOne says:
Good choice. BTW, Paul is an a$$hole ;)

Mar.19 at 1:38 pm

Alicia says:
Indiana has stumbled after Sampson left, but I think DJ White is a leader who can take this team deep The A-10 was competitive this year and has some gritty players. Xavier, Temple and St. Joes could pull off more upsets than St. Mary’s, George Mason or Drake, though I have a soft spot for St Mary’s because they made the WCC a two team conference. Also I have Pitt in the final four, but not beating UCLA, Luke never really defeated Obi Wan.

Mar.19 at 2:54 pm

Kyva says:
The Zags have been inconsistent this year. I am still undecided on K. State/USC. USC has a better overall team, but K. State had some significant wins(KU is one) this year (and of course M. Beasley will not disappoint)
After a little research, I found out that S. Alabama is a solid team. They had a pretty decent non-conference schedule and have defeated ay least 4 teams in the tourney.
Clemson will not be a victim of the 5-12 curse….lol

Mar.19 at 3:05 pm

Adam Fleischer says:
Thanks, TAD. I like both of those games, too, along with a bunch of others. I’m riding with Davidson in that game, but who knows.

Mar.19 at 3:33 pm

BETCATS says:
I say Mike over OJ

Mar.19 at 3:50 pm

Zach F. says:
I hope i’m not the only one realizing the Mayo vs. Bill walker match-up. They were teammates in high school at Cincinati’s North College Hill and won 2 state chips together before Mayo went to Huntington and Wlaker to K. State.
Lets go Ovinton J’Anthony baby

Mar.19 at 4:22 pm

what says:
K-State’s in my elite 8, just for the hell of it

Mar.19 at 5:59 pm

Khalid Salaam says:
ucla is my pick for winner. lets go..

Mar.19 at 6:38 pm

Jade says:
If you didn’t already know, YouMail is offering college basketball fans a way to show their support with free personalized voicemail greetings of their favorite tournament teams. Check it out here: http://www.youmail.com/login/ch/ncaa

Mar.19 at 11:04 pm

jeremy says:
forget it people…OJ and company goin 2 the sweet 16…Igot UNC over UCLA in the final…wait and see…it will happen…KEntucky will at least beat Marquette and may beat Stanford if they get hot…im a Kentucky fan so im a little biased but so what?

Mar.27 at 12:50 pm

Reggie Rainey says:
I would loved to see Michael Beasley return to Kansas State and better himself as a College Student and as a Basketball player. The NBA isn’t going anywhere, the money will be their. In the mean time get your College Degree, so when your playing days are over you can fall back on something else. I know that wont happen because their are so many Bad AAU coaches out their giving bad advice to these young kids. My thoughts are, because these AAU coaches never did anything with thier lives or when they were playing ball. So they lach on to these kids and used them up. I’am a AAU coach in Madison, Wisconsin I used to have a kid out of Racine Wisconsin 7 footer out of Racine Harlick H.S. whose former AAU coach in Racine used this kids so badly when the kid finally said no more to that coach its was too late. The coach came and took away everything he ever gave this kid. I even had University of Utah wanted to offer the kid a full scholarship,when Rick Marjues was the coach 2003. All I had to do was to take this kid to University of Utah BigMan and Guard Basketball camp in that summer, but the bad AAU coach wouldn’t let the kid go. Today that kid never graduated from H.S. or even attended college, because his AAU coach had him sign with an agent, bad advice again. He has two little kids now. So me and a friend are still trying to help this kid now today. Possibly getting him overseas to play. We have been talking with John Lucus in Houston. Another sad story but i doesn’t have to be.

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